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п»їNFL Week 13 game picks: Undefeated no more! Washington stuns Steelers.
Around The NFL Editor.
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Gregg Rosenthal went 11-5 on his predictions for Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 109-66-1. How will he fare in Week 13? His picks are below.
SUNDAY, DEC. 6.
Tennessee Titans 34, Cleveland Browns 30.
Was the Titans' defensive surge the last two weeks more about the Colts' and Ravens' injuries and familiar opponents, or have they turned the corner? Can the Browns' defense get pressure and stops against the best offense it's faced all season? Can Baker Mayfield keep up in a shootout? It feels like Cleveland's season starts now.
Las Vegas Raiders 28, New York Jets 17.
In a season of depressing developments for the Jets, the lack of separation between п»їSam Darnoldп»ї and п»їJoe Flaccoп»ї is the worst. I'm not going to ignore 10 weeks of excellent Raiders offensive production because of one miserable game in Atlanta, even with Jets second-year DT п»їQuinnen Williamsп»ї suddenly balling out.
Minnesota Vikings 28, Jacksonville Jaguars 20.
The Jaguars' defense has been more competitive in recent weeks despite cascading injuries. п»їMike Glennonп»ї is coming off the best game by a Jaguars quarterback all season. That's why I'd guess that Vikings fans will sweat this one out more than they'd like before completing an impressive journey back to .500.
Miami Dolphins 24, Cincinnati Bengals 10.
This would be a great game for Tua Tagovailoa to return, because the diverse Dolphins defense should short-circuit Bengals starter Brandon Allen regardless. Miami cornerback Xavien Howard is having an All-Pro season, and former Dolphins coordinator Patrick Graham, now in New York, dominated Cincinnati last week with a Fins-like approach.
Indianapolis Colts 30, Houston Texans 24.
Just when the Texans find some semblance of mojo, they lose two of their best players (cornerback Bradley Roby and wideout Will Fullerп»ї) to suspension. Deshaun Watsonп»ї's deep group of wideouts is suddenly thin, with Randall Cobb and Kenny Stills also gone, while the Colts could get three key cogs back from the reserve/COVID-19 list, including DeForest Bucknerп»ї. Philip Riversп»ї, meanwhile, is battling a toe injury that forced him to miss practice. So many of these December games will come down to who's available.
Chicago Bears 20, Detroit Lions 17.
The post-Matt Patricia boost could be real. It'll be even bigger if the offense gets Kenny Golladay and D'Andre Swift back, because the Lions have no juice otherwise. Unless that happens, look for the Bears' defense to end Chicago's five-game slide. Mitchell Trubisky owns Detroit!
New Orleans Saints 27, Atlanta Falcons 23.
I picked the Falcons to win this matchup two weeks ago and was spectacularly wrong. Last week, Taysom Hill struggled in Denver, while the Falcons improved to 4-2 under interim coach Raheem Morris with another convincing win. Weird things happen when division opponents play twice in three weeks (SEE: Titans-Colts), yet I can't bring myself to pick against the most complete team in the NFL, even versus its feisty rival.
Seattle Seahawks 24, New York Giants 14.
It's a shame Daniel Jones got hurt after playing his best two games of his season in a row. The scrappy Giants defense, led by a revived Leonard Williamsп»ї, can make this game a lot of fun if New York has a capable starting quarterback. The recent sampling from Colt McCoyп»ї, however, is not encouraging.
( UPDATE: The Giants officially listed Daniel Jones as doubtful to play Sunday, putting McCoy in line to start.)
Los Angeles Rams 27, Arizona Cardinals 17.
п»їKyler Murrayп»ї insists that defenses are forcing him to hand the ball off. Conspiracy theorists believe he's anxious about exposing an injured shoulder. He's certainly throwing the ball hard and far, if not always on time. The Cardinals' offense is limited without Murray making people miss and now faces its toughest matchup yet. Sean McVay won the play-calling battle in this game twice last year, and Arizona's defense isn't any more talented now.
New England Patriots 23, Los Angeles Chargers 20.
New England's win last week gave me mid-2001 Patriots vibes, with the home team taking down Arizona via special teams, a great defensive game plan, luck and mostly opponent errors. Bill Belichick specializes in situational football and letting the other team give the game away, which happens to be the Chargers' specialty.
Green Bay Packers 30, Philadelphia Eagles 17.
These teams' defenses are on similar paths these days, building toward flowery features of "resurgence" after facing soft spots in the schedule. п»їCarson Wentzп»ї is so inaccurate -- and Philly's offense is so lost -- that the opposition mostly just needs to show up.
Kansas City Chiefs 31, Denver Broncos 14.
The Broncos' offense was ranked dead last in DVOA before they played п»їKendall Hintonп»ї at quarterback. Denver has been outscored 96-25 in three matchups against Kansas City since Vic Fangio took over, including a game in which п»їPatrick Mahomesп»ї was hurt. The Broncos' quarterbacks have no touchdown passes with three picks and 13 sacks taken in those three games, and the Chiefs are overdue for a blowout win.
MONDAY, DEC. 7.
Washington Football Team 20, Pittsburgh Steelers 17.
The Thanksgiving and spotlight games of Week 12 felt heavy, featuring a number of teams that appeared worn down by the weight of this season. That included the Steelers, whose own COVID issues were compounded by a late ACL injury to pass rusher Bud Dupree on Wednesday evening. The rested Football Team has competed admirably all year, with game changers Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson playing their best ball since Alex Smith took over. I want to see Smith help topple the last undefeated team, and I want to see his postgame interview at 5 p.m. PT on a Monday afternoon.
Buffalo Bills 27, San Francisco 49ers 26.
This is a dangerous game for the Bills against a 49ers team that is undefeated when playing as a home team in Arizona. San Francisco's strength on the ground matches up well against Buffalo's defensive weakness, and this should be the first time since Week 6 that Deebo Samuelп»ї, Brandon Aiyuk and Raheem Mostert play together. In the writing of this blurb, I almost convinced myself to pick the 49ers against my better judgment.
TUESDAY, DEC. 8.
Baltimore Ravens 23, Dallas Cowboys 16.
The Ravens' roster is compromised. One season after clinching home-field advantage with a week to spare, they are the AFC's ninth seed with five games left. Baltimore hopes to get Lamar Jackson and others back for this game, but the Ravens can't take anything for granted after the month they've been through. The Cowboys have experienced their share of awful luck this season, but they've collapsed within games enough times to believe it's part of their makeup. When the talent is so depleted for both sides, I lean toward the better quarterback and better organization.
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NFL Week 16 game picks: Packers top Titans; Steelers fall to Colts.
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NFL Week 15 game picks: Saints defeat Chiefs; Vikings edge Bears.
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NFL Week 14 game picks: Steelers over Bills; Ravens top Browns.
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NFL Week 12 game picks: Chiefs edge Buccaneers; Colts top Titans.
Can the Buccaneers get back on track by knocking off the Chiefs? Who'll win a gargantuan AFC South showdown between the Titans and Colts? Gregg Rosenthal picks every game on the Week 12 slate.
NFL Week 11 game picks: Colts top Packers; Ravens over Titans.
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NFL Week 10 game picks: Rams top Seahawks; Vikings over Bears.
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PFT’s NFL Week 13 2020 picks.
Thanksgiving week gave us something to be thankful about: A decent performance picking the games.
I hit 12 of 16 straight up; MDS went 11-5. Against the spread, I pulled my head above water at 8-7-1. MDS went 5-10-1.
For the year, MDS still leads in the straight-up contest, 111-68 to 109-70. Against the spread, I’m at 81-88-5. MDS is 69-104-3.
This week, we disagree on only two games. Which gives me a chance to catch him in the straight-up category. For all Week 13 picks, scroll away.
Saints (-3) at Falcons.
MDS’s take : This is the third consecutive year that the Falcons have started playing good football down the stretch, but only after they had fallen out of contention. I see them giving the Saints a tough game but falling just short.
MDS’s pick : Saints 20, Falcons 16.
Florio’s take : The Saints are developing a pick-your-poison offense. Their defense arguably is even more potent.
Florio’s pick : Saints 23, Falcons 14.
MDS’s take : The Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn era has ended, but what’s left behind is a very bad football team that’s going to take time to rebuild. At this point, the Lions will be doing the next coach and GM a favor by losing.
MDS’s pick : Bears 27, Lions 14.
Florio’s take : The interim coach artificial head coach bump is real, especially when coupled with a dash of ding dong the witch is dead.
Florio’s pick : Lions 20, Bears 17.
MDS’s take : The Browns are playoff contenders because they’ve taken care of business against bad teams. But against a good team like the Titans, they’ll fall short.
MDS’s pick : Titans 30, Browns 20.
Florio’s take : It’s impossible to pick the Browns to beat a great team until they show that they can beat a great team.
Florio’s pick : Titans 34, Browns 20.
MDS’s take : What matters is not whether Tua Tagovailoa or Ryan Fitzpatrick is at quarterback for the Dolphins. What matters is that Brandon Allen is at quarterback for the Bengals.
MDS’s pick : Dolphins 24, Bengals 7.
Florio’s take : Even if FitzMagic can’t avoid FitzTragic, the Dolphins should be able to make quick work of the overmatched Bengals.
Florio’s pick : Dolphins 30, Bengals 17.
MDS’s take : The Vikings are clinging to slim playoff hopes, while the Jaguars are just getting ready for next year’s draft. This should be an easy win for Minnesota.
MDS’s pick : Vikings 31, Jaguars 10.
Florio’s take : The postseason continues to be a longshot for the Vikings, and it drops to an impossibility if they stumble against the Jaguars.
Florio’s pick : Vikings 31, Jaguars 23.
Raiders (- at Jets.
MDS’s take : The Raiders are clinging to slim playoff hopes, while the Jets are just getting ready for next year’s draft. This should be an easy win for Las Vegas.
MDS’s pick : Raiders 28, Jets 14.
Florio’s take : Which Raiders team will show up? It won’t matter against the only team the Jets have.
Florio’s pick : Raiders 34, Jets 13.
Colts (-3.5) at Texans.
MDS’s take : The Texans are playing good football down the stretch, and I think they’ll give the Colts a tough fight but not quite pull off the upset.
MDS’s pick : Colts 21, Texans 20.
Florio’s take : The Colts can’t afford to drop another one, even though this one won’t be easy.
Florio’s pick : Colts 27, Texans 20.
Rams (-3) at Cardinals.
MDS’s take : This looks like a matchup of likely playoff teams, but if the Cardinals lose they’re at real risk of falling out of the last wild card spot. And I think that’s going to happen.
MDS’s pick : Rams 24, Cardinals 23.
Florio’s take: Hail Murray ended up being the high point of the season for Arizona.
Florio’s pick : Rams 24, Cardinals 20.
MDS’s take : The Giants may still win the NFC East, but they’ll do so with a losing record.
MDS’s pick : Seahawks 24, Giants 13.
Florio’s take : Daniel Jones, Colt McCoy, Eli Manning, Phil Simms, Y.A. Tittle, it won’t matter.
Florio’s pick : Seahawks 35, Giants 24.
MDS’s take : The Eagles are an absolute mess, and there’s little reason to think they’re going to get any better.
MDS’s pick : Packers 35, Eagles 17.
Florio’s take : Philly found a way to win at Lambeau Field a year ago. It feels like a decade ago.
Florio’s pick : Packers 34, Eagles 21.
Patriots (even) at Chargers.
MDS’s take : The Patriots aren’t done fighting for a playoff spot just yet. I think Bill Belichick is going to have something in store for Justin Herbert.
MDS’s pick : Patriots 17, Chargers 10.
Florio’s take : The Patriots have a chance to return from their two-game L.A. swing on the right side of .500. Every other AFC contender should be praying that doesn’t happen.
Florio’s pick : Patriots 23, Chargers 17.
MDS’s take : The Broncos won’t be playing without a quarterback this week, but the Chiefs should blow them out anyway.
MDS’s pick : Chiefs 31, Broncos 20.
Florio’s take : The Broncos won’t be able to blame this one on having no quarterbacks.
Florio’s pick : Chiefs 42, Broncos 21.
MDS’s take : It’s been a roller coaster ride for the Steelers with their game against the Ravens repeatedly delayed, but they should still beat Washington comfortably.
MDS’s pick : Steelers 24, Washington 14.
Florio’s take : The coach of an 11-0 team sounded like the coach of an 0-11 team after Wednesday’s win over the Ravens. The players likely won’t return to the locker room on Monday night if they don’t blow out Washington.
Florio’s pic k: Steelers 27, Washington 16.
Bills (-1.5) at 49ers.
MDS’s take : I admire how hard the 49ers are playing in tough circumstances, but the Bills won’t have much trouble beating this injury-plagued roster.
MDS’s pick : Bills 23, 49ers 10.
Florio’s take : The 49ers have a complex and diverse running game. The Bills have a hard time stopping the run. San Francisco continues its unlikely run to a playoff berth, where the 49ers will be very dangerous if they make it.
Florio’s pick : 49ers 21, Bills 20.
MDS’s take : Even in the terrible NFC East, I can’t see the Cowboys making a playoff run. Even after all the Ravens went through over the last couple weeks, they’ll handle the Cowboys.
MDS’s pick : Ravens 27, Cowboys 17.
Florio’s take : Dez Bryant finally gets to play his former team. Although statistically he may not have a huge game, his emotion could him fuel a much-needed win for a struggling Ravens franchise.
Florio’s pick : Ravens 28, Cowboys 20.


NFL expert picks, predictions for Week 13 straight up.
The NFL playoff picture is coming into focus, even if the schedule continues to be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Week 13 schedule features 15 games, and there are two games between teams winning records. The Browns and Titans meet at 1 p.m. on Sunday in a matchup of AFC playoff contenders. The Rams and Cardinals meet at 4 p.m. ET in a matchup of NFC playoff contenders.
With two games on Monday night, the schedule remains day to day. We are coming off a solid week in the straight-up picks.
Here is a look at our track record in picking games straight-up in 2020:
Last Week: 10-4 (before Week 12 Monday/Tuesday) Season: 72-51 (before Week 12 Monday/Tuesday)
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for the rest of Week 13:


NFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Week 13, 2020: Proven model loving Packers, Dolphins.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 13 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The New Orleans Saints have rebounded from a lackluster 1-2 start, reeling off eight straight wins and taking command of the NFC South heading into a Week 13 matchup against the Falcons. The Saints will be without future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees while he recovers from multiple broken ribs, and will instead go with multi-purpose QB Taysom Hill for the second straight week. The Saints are favored by a field goal in the latest Week 13 NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook, one of the smallest NFL spreads of the week.
On Sunday Night Football, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 13.5, one of the largest NFL Vegas lines we'll see all season. Should you back the Denver Broncos, whose quarterback stable will return this week after sitting out last week's loss due to COVID-19 protocols, in your NFL bets? All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,900 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's a sizzling 20-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, already returning almost $900. The model enters Week 13 on an incredible 116-75 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 13 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 13.
One of the top Week 13 NFL picks the model recommends: The Packers (-9) cover as home favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Packers are coming off a dominant performance against the Bears on Sunday Night Football in Week 12 and now hold a three-game lead in the NFC North.
After losing the turnover battle in three of their previous four games, the Packers forced three turnovers without giving the ball away against Chicago. Meanwhile, the Eagles have converted on just 38.6 percent of third downs and 31.8 percent of fourth downs (29th) and struggle to keep drives alive. SportsLine's model predicts that Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will throw for nearly 300 yards and two touchdowns as Green Bay covers in well over 50 percent of simulations.
Another one of the top Week 13 NFL predictions from the model: The Miami Dolphins (-10.5) cover as home favorites against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games and the home team is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these teams.
Cincinnati has lost three straight and is in the AFC North cellar at 2-8-1. The Bengals are playing out the string without rookie quarterback Joe Burrow, who tore multiple ligaments in his knee against Washington on Nov. 22. Brandon Allen has taken over, though he went just 17-of-29 for 136 yards and a touchdown in a loss to the Giants last week.
SportsLine's model says the Dolphins cover in over 60 percent of simulations. The over (42.5) also hits more than 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 13 NFL picks.
The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 13 NFL schedule and identified a Super Bowl contender that gets a huge scare. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 13? And which Super Bowl contender get a huge scare? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks.


NFL picks, predictions for Week 13: 49ers upset Bills; Steelers get a scare; Texans hurt Colts' playoff hopes.
The NFL playoff picture is coming into focus, even if the schedule continues to be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Week 13 schedule features 15 games, and there are two games between teams winning records. The Browns and Titans meet at 1 p.m. on Sunday in a matchup of AFC playoff contenders. The Rams and Cardinals meet at 4 p.m. ET in a matchup of NFC playoff contenders.
With two games on Monday night, the schedule remains day to day. We are coming off a solid week in the straight-up picks.
Here is a look at our track record in picking games straight-up in 2020:
Last Week: 11-4 (before Week 12 Wednesday) Season: 73-51 (before Week 12 Wednesday)
With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for the rest of Week 13:
NFL picks, predictions for Week 13.
New Orleans Saints (-3) at Atlanta Falcons.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Saints' defense allowed just 12 points in Taysom Hill's last two starts, and that included a 24-9 win against Atlanta. The Falcons can't settle for field goals in the rematch. Matt Ryan makes it interesting in the rematch, but we can't go against the better team.
Pick: Saints 24, Falcons 20.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-5.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Lions fired Matt Patricia, and the Bears are coming off a two-TD loss to the Packers. Mitchell Trubisky led Chicago to a thrilling comeback victory against Detroit in Week 1. Will Matthew Stafford return the favor? The Bears have lost five in a row. The Lions have lost five in a row to the Bears. One of those streaks ends.
Pick: Lions 26, Bears 23.
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (-5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Derrick Henry (114.3) leads the NFL in rushing yards per game, but Nick Chubb (102.7) isn't far behind. Tennessee routed Cleveland 43-13 last year, but this is a different team. The line has jumped 1.5 points from its open. The Browns play better this time, and it's a matchup we might see again in the AFC playoffs.
Pick: Titans 28, Browns 24.
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins (-11)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
This was supposed to be Joe Burrow vs. Tua Tagovailoa, but those plans were changed. Miami ranks second in the NFL in scoring defense (18.6), and Brandon Allen will have trouble in the passing game. Miami takes care of business, even if the line looks a touch high.
Pick: Dolphins 23, Bengals 14.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings (-9.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Vikings are coming off a come-back victory, and Dalvin Cook will take advantage of a Jacksonville run defense that ranks 29th in the NFL at 136.2 yards per game. The Jaguars have played the Packers and Browns close the last three weeks, but this is a tougher matchup on the road.
Pick: Vikings 31, Jaguars 21.
Las Vegas Raiders (-7.5) at New York Jets.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Raiders did not handle the cross-country trip to Atlanta well in a surprise blowout loss in Week 12. The Jets, however, managed just three points at home against the Dolphins. The Raiders need this one to stay in the AFC playoff race, and Derek Carr bounces back on the road.
Pick: Raiders 28, Jets 17.
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Houston Texans.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Texans have won three of their last four games, and Deshaun Watson has 15 TDs and no interceptions in his last six games. That makes this a dangerous game for the Colts, who have split their last four games. These teams meet again in Week 15. The Texans play spoiler here.
Pick: Texans 27, Colts 24.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-1)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX.
This is the first of two meetings between NFC West playoff contenders, and both lost in last-minute fashion in Week 12. Sean McVay called out Jared Goff, who has five turnovers the last two weeks. Kyler Murray gets Arizona back on track in another fantastic finish.
Pick: Cardinals 30, Rams 27.
New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks (-9)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX.
Daniel Jones (hamstring) might not be able to play, and that means Colt McCoy will be pressed to keep up with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks' offense. Seattle's defense might get some confidence here, too.
Pick: Seahawks 33, Giants 16.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-7)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Eagles marched into Lambeau Field and stole a 34-27 victory last season after falling behind by double digits in the first half. Chances are the Packers remember that game, and Aaron Rodgers makes sure it doesn't happen again. Green Bay's defense still has some trouble closing the door.
Pick: Packers 31, Eagles 24.
New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers (-1)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots are trying to mount a last-ditch playoff run, but there is no margin for error. Justin Herbert has three 300-yard games in the last four weeks, but the Chargers have allowed 27 points or more in eight straight games. We can't trust that defense.
Pick: Patriots 28, Chargers 26.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Broncos quarterback situation is uncertain, and there is time to look for options other than practice squad receiver Kendall Hinton. It won't matter against the Chiefs – who are trying to keep pace with the Steelers for the top seed in the AFC.
Pick: Chiefs 34, Broncos 13.
Washington Football Team at Pittsburgh Steelers (-10)
Monday, 5 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Steelers will be playing on a five-day week after the Wednesday game with the Ravens, and that is not an easy spot against a Washington team that had the Thanksgiving weekend off. It's difficult to gauge how the teams will react to the preparation times, but the Steelers are still the better team at home. It's closer than expected.
Pick: Steelers 27, Washington 20.
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
The 49ers have a couple key pieces back in Raheem Mostert and Deebo Samuel, and the defense is good enough to challenge Josh Allen � who has a few more turnovers last two weeks. The Bills are 3-2 on the road this year, but this is one of those tough outs.
Pick: 49ers 24, Bills 21.
Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (NA)
Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET, FoxNFL.
The Ravens have dealt with COVID-19 issues on the roster, but they will be given an extra day after Wednesday night's game against the Steelers. Baltimore might be in desperation mode here, and that is bad news for the Cowboys and Andy Dalton.




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